Storm Eowyn is now less than 48 hours away and this morning, although there are still some small differences in the track/intensity of the weather system amongst the various main forecast models, the consensus is pretty solid for a period of very strong and in places highly impactful winds crossing the northern half of England, N Ireland and S/Cent Scotland during the course of Friday. Across the Northwest the strongest gusts will in general be encountered the further north and the closer to the west coast you are with Cumbria (especially the N and W) looking to be the most exposed county, followed by Lancashire then Merseyside with Greater Manchester and finally Cheshire. Weather Sequence/impacts: Largely as per yesterday’s message i.e. a broad area of rain and strengthening winds sweeping northwards across all area in the early hours of Friday morning. One difference this morning is the likelihood of some initial snowfall on the Cumbrian fells and Pennines in the early hours of Friday which could cause some temporary issues on the higher passes and especially the trans-Pennine routes, especially above 300m, before it all turns to rain and thaws steadily. During the main period of precipitation, the S’ly winds, although strong, should not prove especially disruptive. The real change comes when the rain clears through early to mid-morning and the winds swing round to a more W to SW’ly direction, coming straight in off the Irish Sea. This looks to start happening around 0700/0800 Friday morning, after which things head downhill and we enter the windiest and most disruptive part of the day which lasts through until mid-afternoon, beyond which the winds should moderate steadily. The rain may re-visit north Cumbria for a time around the middle of Friday, exacerbating the already very difficult conditions. Otherwise, from a rainfall standpoint, once the initial rain has cleared through, the remainder of Friday looks largely dry with attention fully focussed on the winds. Pinning down the precise maximum gusts speeds is still an inexact science, as is determining exactly what effect those gusts will have on the ground. Save to say, with the amber wind warning referencing gusts of 60 to 70mph inland and as much as 80 to 90mph along coats and higher ground, the potential is clearly there for appreciable disruption to road/rail transport, human safety from falling trees/airborne debris, power outages from damaged transmission infrastructure as well as the impact on vulnerable structures etc. Severe weather warning status: This morning the pre-existing (very low likelihood of high impacts) yellow wind warning (Cumbria, Lancashire, Merseyside) has been escalated to amber (low likelihood of high impacts)with scope for further escalation tomorrow morning if deemed necessary. The underlying medium impact yellow wind warning (Cheshire, Greater Manchester) remains as is though now covers all of the Northwest. A new low impact snow warning has been issued for E Cumbria for early Friday. 22-01-2024 Storm Isha narrative via Lynne Jones EA have just called. Both Greta Bridge and the Camp Site gauges should peak in the next hour. Derwentwater will go on rising until about 1am and should peak at around 2.4 at Lodore (that is much lower than Storm Ciara back in 2021 (2.94) We’ve a burst of rain through now then about 3mm in the next 3 hours so the levels will drop. Got some dry weather before the next rain event on Tuesday. Read complete narrative HERE 13-01-2023 Lynne Jones via Facebook: So yellow warning for rain from 21.00 tonight to lunchtime tomorrow. The quote from Met Office follows and IF (!!) the totals forecast for the high fells are accurate (and it moves through as expected) we should be reasonably OK. Forecasts have varied so it is hard to call. The river will react fast because Thirlmere is overspilling. 07-01-2023 Lynne Jones via Facebook: Thirlmere and Rain Not much wriggle room left in Thirlmere, just 40cms tonight and that will soon be gone I suspect. The Met Office promises another unsettled week ahead as a succession of Atlantic fronts bring regular bouts of rainfall/showers, totals adding up more over and to the west of the Pennines where the majority of the coming week’s rainfall will descend. Looks like a wet night ahead and then Tuesday there will be some heavy rain. There are currently no warnings for the coming week. The gaps between the rainfall events should help the area drain and recover. 03-01-2023 Ed Henderson via Facebook Lots of rain today and tonight. As soils are already at or close to saturation, there is likely to be some localised flooding. There is a flood alert for Borrowdale and Derwentwater and a flood warning for Keswick campsite. 07-10-2022 October start of bad weather ! Met Office update: Later tonight and during the first half of tomorrow morning an active weather front will spread a band of rain and locally strong winds SE’wards across Cumbria (and the rest of the Northwest). Although the event should be relatively short-lived there could well be some short-period heavy/very heavy rainfall associated with the front affecting parts of W/Cent/S Cumbria, though not on the scale of last Friday’s intense burst which resulted in the incidents in Borrowdale. Event rainfall totals tomorrow will also be well down on those of last Friday. There are no severe weather warnings in force for this event and this morning’s Flood Guidance Statement for Cumbria is green with no areas of concern highlighted for tomorrow. However, it is Friday again and, mindful of last Friday, this is simply a heads up for the heavy rain risk which could just result in one or two very localised and very temporary surface water issues in and around the valleys but which, hopefully, will pass through without anything untoward occurring. 09-08-2022 Amber warning of extreme heat issued by the Met Office. Areas affected: East Midlands | East of England | London & South East England | North West England | South West England | Wales | West Midlands | Yorkshire & Humber Starts: 00:00 BST on Thu 11 August Ends: 23:59 BST on Sun 14 August A hot spell will develop across parts of England and Wales later this week. - Adverse health effects are likely to be experienced by those vulnerable to extreme heat - The wider population are likely to experience some adverse health effects including sunburn or heat exhaustion (dehydration, nausea, fatigue) and other heat related illnesses - Some changes in working practices and daily routines likely to be required - An increased chance that some heat-sensitive systems and equipment may fail. - More people are likely to visit coastal areas, lakes, rivers and other beauty spots leading to an increased risk of water safety and fire-related incidents. - Some delays to road, rail and air travel are possible, with potential for welfare issues for those who experience prolonged delays 21-02-2022 14:00 A Mixed bag of storms over the last three days. Dudley, closely followed by Eunic and then Franklin. Mostly wind related with also Rain and Snow, all triggering yellow warnings over the period 18th Feb to 21st Feb. Rest of the week looks unsettled with some rain and blustery conditions. Thankfully Keswick was spared severe disruption … This Time ! 15-02-2022 10:00 Approaching from the Atlantic, Storm Dudley with amber warning covering Cumbria. Expected high winds with some impact on road, rail and infrastructure. Followed on Friday by Storm Eunice on Friday. Though there will be some rain the significant events will be high winds. Amber wind warning now earlier for tomorrow from 16.00 through to midnight. Yes, it will be horrible with some surface water problems in places but the rainfall radar gives us plenty of gaps of dryer weather so it looks far from a "Desmond" experience which gave us 30+ hours of intense rainfall. Eunice might result in blizzard conditions on the fells but snow at least holds the water back IMHO!! Batten down the hatches folks, LJ via Facebook. 12-02-2022 00:00 Unsettled weather for the next week of Atlantic fronts bringing Wind and Rain. Maybe wind / rain impact locally. Deepening depression in the Atlantic approaching for mid week. 05-12-2021 13:00 Storm barra is approaching from the Atlantic . Expect disturbed weather Tuesday and Wednesday with high winds, Snow and Rain a strong possibility for the North of England. More details as it developes. 29-10-2021 12:30 Coming weather events: Unsettled with reduced rainfall across Cumbria with some drier days. Further rain warnings expected, but all low impact. 28-10-2021 13:30 Update from CCC on the surface water flood prevention systems: The Springs Road basin has taken 93.4mm of rain in the past 24hrs and still has 200mm of free board before it starts to use the emergency spill way so coping well. ( CCC get alarms when the basin reaches 850mm close to the 1m level for spill). Pumping Station Penrith Road: The pumping station in Penrith road has been running since 12:00 midnight and is still cycling through the 2 pumps every 20 mins instead of 2mins when it started. Have been out checking, CW is fine, Portinscale road was passable but will not take much for it to flood again, the storm culverts were almost underwater, Low Briery was Ok, school playing fields etc. swamped. UU have acknowledged a sewer is blocked and are on their way to fix it. The flows around Low Brigham will be a longer battle to win I fear. 28-10-2021 11:10 Rain slowly dissipating during the afternoon, Amber warnings being kept in place, rivers seem to have peaked, some flooding on roads. Weekend unsettled with further rain moving through.